Nifty Crash Ahead? 🔻 क्या 24,500 टूटेगा? | 29 July 2025 Stock Market Analysis"

 Nifty 50 Index Analysis – 29 July 2025 (Tuesday)

👉 Closing: 24,673.95 (-156.10 / -0.63%)

👉 Timeframe: 1 Hour

🔍 Market Overview:

Nifty 50 ne kal ke session mein bearish momentum continue kiya, jahan index 25,200 ke resistance ko tod nahi paya aur strong selling pressure ke baad 24,700 ke neeche close hua. Volume bhi red candles ke saath higher side pe tha, jo confirm karta hai ki sellers active hain.

📉 Technical Indicators:

EMA 5 (close): Price EMA ke neeche trade kar raha hai – strong downtrend signal.

UT Bot Alerts: Multiple Sell signals active hain. Koi fresh Buy signal nahi dikhaai de raha hai.

Support Zones: 24,600 – Agar yeh level break hota hai, next major support 24,500 aur 24,300 ke aaspaas hai.

Resistance Levels: 24,900 aur 25,150 – jab tak yeh levels break nahi hote, rally limited rahegi.

📊 Volume Analysis:

Red candles ke saath volume spike dikhaai diya hai – indicating institutional level selling. Volume pattern bhi trend ke saath align kar raha hai.

💡 Key Observation:

Short-term sentiment bearish hai. Agar Nifty 24,600 ke neeche sustain karta hai, to correction aur deepen ho sakta hai. Intraday traders ke liye selling on rise ka setup zyada strong rahega.

📢 Strategy for Traders (29 July 2025):

Trader Type Strategy

Intraday 24,750–24,800 pe short sell ka mauka dhoondein with SL above 24,900

Swing Wait for 24,500 breakdown ya 25,000 ke upar closing for confirmation

Investors Stay cautious – avoid fresh entries unless 25,200 reclaim hota hai

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Nifty 50 After the Fall – What’s Next? | 21st July 2025 Market Prediction

 🔎 Market Overview:

Nifty 50 has been showing continuous weakness leading into the 21st of July. From recent highs near 25,600, the index has dropped sharply and is currently trading around 24,965. The current trend shows a clear lower-high, lower-low structure, which indicates short-term bearish sentiment.

📈 Technical Analysis:

✅ Support Zone: 24,850 – 24,900

❌ Resistance Zone: 25,150 – 25,300

📉 Trend: Short-Term Bearish

📊 Indicators:

Strong selling pressure visible with red candle volumes increasing

A fresh "BUY" signal is generated on the 1-hour chart, but confirmation is awaited

Price is near support, showing signs of possible consolidation or reversal

📌 Prediction for 21st July 2025:

Nifty may open weak but could see intraday recovery if it holds above the 24,900 support level.

🔄 Intraday Strategy Suggestion:

Buy Above: 25,000 (Stop Loss: 24,850)

Sell Below: 24,850 (Stop Loss: 25,000)

Targets:

Upside: 25,100 / 25,200

Downside: 24,750 / 24,600

📣 Analyst View:

If global cues are supportive, we may witness a short-covering rally during the day. However, upside movement will likely remain limited until Nifty breaks above 25,200 decisively.

⚠️ Disclaimer:

This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your fin

ancial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Nifty 50 Prediction for 15 July 2025

 📈 Nifty 50 Prediction for 15 July 2025

Current Level: 25,087.10

Change: -67.55 (-0.27%)

Signal: Buy

🔍 Technical Analysis Summary:

UT Bot Alert: Recently triggered a Buy signal around the 25,000 level after a prolonged downtrend.

EMA 5 (Exponential Moving Average): Price has just closed above the 5 EMA, indicating potential reversal or short-term bullish momentum.

Volume Spike: Noticeable volume pickup near the recent low, suggesting accumulation or short covering.

📊 Trend & Momentum:

Short-Term Trend (1-hour): Downtrend appears to be weakening; consolidation seen around the 25,000 zone.

RSI (not visible but inferred): Likely recovering from oversold zones due to recent bounce.

Support Zone: 24,980 – 25,000

Resistance Zone: 25,200 – 25,320

🔮 Prediction:

"After testing the critical support near 25,000, Nifty has shown signs of a reversal with a Buy signal on the hourly chart. If the index sustains above 25,100, we may see a move toward 25,250–25,300. However, any break below 24,980 may resume bearish pressure."

📌 Trade Plan (For Traders):

Bullish Above: 25,120

Targets: 25,250 / 25,300

SL: 24,980

Bearish Below: 24,980

Targets: 24,850 / 24,750

SL: 25,120

Natural Gas Futures Prediction for 14 July 2025 – Trend, Levels & Trade Plan

 

🔮 Natural Gas Futures Prediction for 14 July 2025 – Trend, Levels & Trade Plan

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📌 Market Overview

As of the latest session on 13 July 2025, Natural Gas Futures (MCX) closed at ₹284.5, showing mild volatility. The market has seen a recent bounce from lower levels but is facing resistance near ₹292. Traders are looking for direction ahead of the new week.

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📈 Technical Summary

Indicator	Status
🔹 Trend	Short-term bullish, but in correction phase
🔹 EMA 5	Price hovering near EMA 5, slope slightly upward
🔹 Volume	Declining, indicating possible consolidation
🔹 Signals	Recent Buy near ₹284, but Sell seen near ₹291

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🔍 Key Support & Resistance

Level Type	Price
✅ Support 1	₹284
✅ Support 2	₹280
🔺 Resistance 1	₹288.5
🔺 Resistance 2	₹292

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📅 Prediction for 14 July 2025

Natural Gas is likely to open flat to slightly positive. If it sustains above ₹285, we could see a bullish move toward ₹288.5–₹291. However, failure to hold ₹284 may bring selling pressure down to ₹280 or lower.

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🧠 Trade Plan for Traders

🔼 Bullish Scenario (Buy Plan):

• Entry: Above ₹285

• Target: ₹288.5 → ₹291

• Stop Loss: ₹283.5

🔽 Bearish Scenario (Sell Plan):

• Entry: Below ₹283.5

• Target: ₹280 → ₹277

• Stop Loss: ₹286

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📊 Strategy Note:

• Use 1-hour chart + EMA + volume for confirmation

• Avoid trades during low volume periods

• Risk management is key — max 1% of capital per trade

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📢 Final Thoughts

Natural Gas is in a tight range with momentum building. Watch the ₹284–₹285 zone carefully — a breakout or breakdown from this level will define the trend for the day.

Stay disciplined. Let the levels guide your entry, and avoid emotional trading.

“New Options Trading Strategy for Profitable Traders – Trend Flow Method”

 

📈 New Options Trading Strategy for Profitable Traders – The “Trend Flow Strategy”

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🔍 Strategy Name: Trend Flow Strategy

✅ Designed for: Intraday / Positional
✅ Market: Nifty / Bank Nifty Options
✅ Goal: Small but consistent profits (₹3,000–₹10,000/day)
✅ Best for: Traders with at least 6 months experience

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⚙️ 1. Tools & Setup

Tool	Purpose
TradingView	Chart Analysis
15-Min Timeframe	Trend identification
Indicators	EMA 9 & 21, RSI 14, VWAP

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📊 2. Entry Conditions

🔵 BUY CALL OPTION:

• Price above VWAP + EMA 9 + EMA 21

• RSI > 55

• Bullish candle close after pullback to EMA

🔴 BUY PUT OPTION:

• Price below VWAP + EMA 9 + EMA 21

• RSI < 45

• Bearish candle close after minor pullback

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🛑 3. Stop Loss & Exit Plan

• Stop Loss: Previous candle’s high/low OR 25% premium

• Target: 1:2 Risk-Reward

• Trail SL once 1:1 is hit

• Exit by 3:15 PM max (for intraday)

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💰 4. Capital & Lot Size

• Suggested capital: ₹1.5–2.5 Lakhs

• Risk per trade: 1% max

• Trade 1–2 lots of Nifty or Bank Nifty options

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🧠 5. Pro Tips

• Avoid trading before 9:30 AM or during big events (RBI, Fed, Budget)

• Use Open Interest + Option Chain for confirmation

• Keep a Trading Journal to review mistakes and wins

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✅ Sample Trade Example

Instrument: BankNifty 48500CE
Buy @: ₹180
SL: ₹150
Target: ₹240
Result: ₹60 profit × 15 lot = ₹4,500

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🔚 Final Words

This strategy focuses on price action + trend strength for smart entries.
Stick to your rules, manage risk well, and track each trade. Over time, this will bring consistent monthly profits.