NIFTY 50 prediction for Monday, 14 July 2025

 NIFTY 50 Index on the 1-hour time frame with UT Bot Alerts and 5 EMA, here's a short-term technical outlook for Monday, 14 July 2025:

---

🔍 Technical Analysis:

1. Trend & EMA (5):

• The price is below the 5 EMA (25,169.94), indicating short-term bearish momentum.

• Last few candles show a strong downward movement with lower highs and lower lows.

2. Sell Signal:

• The last visible signal is a “Sell”, and there’s no reversal (Buy) confirmation yet.

3. Volume:

• Volume appears steady, with a slight rise during the fall, suggesting sell-side interest.

4. Support & Resistance:

• Immediate support lies around 25,100.

• Next support may be around 24,950–25,000 zone if the fall continues.

• Resistance is near the 5 EMA (25,170) and then around 25,300–25,350.

---

📈 Prediction for 14 July 2025 (Monday):

• If NIFTY opens below or near 25,100, expect a possible dip to 25,000–24,950.

• If there is a gap-up or recovery above 25,170 (5 EMA), a short-term pullback to 25,300 is possible.

• Momentum remains bearish unless a strong bullish candle closes above the EMA.

---

💡 Trading Strategy (Intraday):

• Bearish Bias: Look for shorting opportunities near resistance levels (e.g., 25,170–25,220) with SL above 25,300.

• Avoid longs unless price reclaims and sustains above 25,300 with volume.

• Watch opening range and global cues for confirmation.

---

📊 FII/DII Data Analysis – 11 July 2025

🔻 Foreign Institutional Investors (FII)

FII Cash Market (CM):

➤ -₹5,104.22 Cr → Heavy selling

FII Index Futures:

➤ -₹3,537.76 Cr → Bearish stance on index direction

FII Index Options:

➤ -₹3,242.35 Cr → Likely unwinding long calls or hedging

FII Stock Futures:

➤ -₹1,665.10 Cr → Exit or shorting in individual stocks

FII Stock Options:

➤ +₹743.84 Cr → Possibly selling puts or directional calls (slightly bullish/hedged)

➡️ Overall FII View: Highly bearish, exiting both cash and derivatives aggressively. Likely expecting continued correction.

🟢 Domestic Institutional Investors (DII)

DII Cash Market (CM):

➤ +₹3,558.63 Cr → Strong buying support from DIIs

➡️ DII View: Supportive, absorbing FII selling. Often indicates value buying at lower levels.

📉 Sector/Index-specific Data

NIFTY:

➤ -₹2,841.03 Cr → Strong FII outflows; drag from heavyweights

BANKNIFTY:

➤ -₹644.51 Cr → Weakness in banking; likely due to pressure on large banks

FINNIFTY:

➤ +₹4.73 Cr → Slightly positive, possibly selective buying

MIDCPNIFTY & NIFTYNXT50:

➤ Mild selling, not as significant as large caps

⚠️ Volatility Indicator

India VIX:

➤ 11.82 (+1.3%)

➤ Rising volatility = increasing fear = caution ahead