Sunday, 13 July 2025

Sensex Outlook 14 July 2025: Will Bulls Hold ₹82,000 or More Selling Ahead ?

  “Sensex trades below key support ahead of July 14th. Will ₹82,000 support hold or break further? Check trade plan, targets, stoploss and expert levels for intraday and FII, DII Analysis.



📉 SENSEX Prediction for 14 July 2025: Dip Possible, Watch for Bounce Zone

🧠 Technical Analysis Summary:

  • Current Price: ₹82,457

  • Trend: Bearish short-term (below EMA 9 and Supertrend red)

  • Breakdown seen below strong support at ₹83,100 – ₹83,000

  • Immediate support zone: ₹81,750 – ₹81,600

  • Volume: Increasing on red candles → Selling pressure visible


📌 Key Levels for 14 July 2025 (Monday):

TypeLevel (₹)
Resistance 183,000
Resistance 283,535
Support 182,000
Support 281,750 (Major)
SupertrendBearish below 83,100

📊 Trade Plan for 14 July 2025 (Short-Term):

🟥 Intraday/Positional SELL Setup:

  • Entry: Around ₹82,600 – ₹82,750 (on small bounce)

  • Target 1: ₹82,000

  • Target 2: ₹81,750

  • Stoploss: ₹83,100 (above breakdown candle and EMA)

📌 Risk-Reward: ~1:2+
🔎 Logic: Price is below EMA and Supertrend with breakdown volume. Retest or minor pullback near 82650–82750 can be a short opportunity.


🟩 Reversal BUY Setup (Only if support holds):

  • Watch for bullish candle near ₹81,750 – ₹82,000

  • Entry: Above ₹82,100 with confirmation

  • Target: ₹82,800 – ₹83,000

  • Stoploss: ₹81,600

🔁 This setup is only valid if price finds support and shows reversal patterns (hammer or bullish engulfing) on 1H.


🔍 Market Outlook for 14 July 2025 – Nifty & Sensex

🗓️ Data as of: 11 July 2025

📊 FII/DII Activity:

  • FII CM (Cash Market):-5,104.22 Cr (Heavy Selling)

  • DII CM:+3,558.63 Cr (Strong Buying)

  • FII Index Futures:-3,537.76 Cr

  • FII Index Options:-3,242.35 Cr

  • FII Stock Futures:-1,665.10 Cr

  • FII Stock Options:+743.84 Cr

📈 Index Snapshot:

  • NIFTY: 25,149.85 (-205.40 / -0.8%)

  • SENSEX: 82,500.47 (-689.81 / -0.8%)

  • INDIA VIX: 11.82 (+1.3%) — Slight rise in volatility.


🔮 Prediction & View for 14 July 2025:

📉 Bearish to Volatile Opening Expected

  • FII activity shows aggressive shorting across cash, index futures, and options. This reflects negative sentiment from foreign investors.

  • However, DII buying is strong (₹3558 Cr), which may act as a cushion on intraday dips.

  • India VIX up suggests volatile movement is likely.

  • Overall, the bias remains bearish with potential bounce from intraday lows due to DII support.


🎯 Trade Plan for 14 July 2025:

🔻 NIFTY Intraday Levels:

  • Support: 25,000 / 24,850

  • Resistance: 25,300 / 25,450

  • Trade Idea: Sell on rise near 25,300–25,400 zone.

  • Target: 25,000 / 24,850

  • Stop Loss: 25,480 (closing basis)

🔻 SENSEX Intraday Levels:

  • Support: 82,000 / 81,500

  • Resistance: 82,800 / 83,150

  • Trade Idea: Sell around 82,800–83,100 with tight SL.

  • Target: 82,000 / 81,500

  • Stop Loss: 83,200


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